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Awatea Property Update

Why our Investors are hot on carbon forestry investment

Introducing Ngatoka, the fifth forest property of the fund

Ngatoka is a 262-hectare property (subject to survey) located to the east of Masterton in the Southern North Island and 129 from Wellington Centreport. Ngatoka is perfectly positioned between three other RDNZ forests and will benefit through those economies and enhanced access. The vendor is undertaking the subdivision and we have conveniently contracted the ability to plant the property prior to settlement. Ngatoka will be planted this month, with 184.3 hectares effective for forestry,  94% targeted for production forestry.

The option to plant this year offers exceptional value to the fund, both in terms of the time value of money, as well, prior to any potential changes following the ETS review, foreseen to offer significant value to existing investments.  

The property has received an independent land valuation 16.3% above our off-market purchase price, and the independent forest feasibility has produced a Net Pre-Tax Forecast Internal Rate of Return (IRR) of 7.4%, based on a 20-quarter log price series and a gross carbon price of $56.30 NZU.

Since agreeing to purchase, we have witnessed positive reinforcement for the New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme and a subsequent recovery in the price of carbon credits, currently holding around $61 NZU.

We are pleased to add a new forest region to the fund, with five properties now held across four premium forest growing regions. 

The sixth property of the fund, Kinloch, currently undergoing due diligence.

RDNZ has taken the opportunity to negotiate the conditional purchase of Kinloch, a 292-hectare property in the Central Hawkes Bay, 98km from the Port of Napier with other domestic sawmills nearby. The property is mostly easy and medium contour and preliminary independent information appears favorable. Kinloch has been analysed to contain 245 hectares effective for forestry.

The negotiation of Kinloch has happened over the previous months; however, the immediate benefit of Kinloch, like Ngatoka, is our ability to plant in the 2023 planting season. We are working through satisfying our Due Diligence, and our forest managers (FMNZ) are working through those planting logistics right now.

The property neighbors another RDNZ property that is currently going through its acquisition process, the neighboring property can offer further economies and access advantages for Kinloch. Should we proceed to purchase Kinloch, the effective forest area of Awatea would climb to 1,687 hectares, already one-third of the target fund size.

We will update upon any milestones being met for Kinloch in the coming weeks.

Why now’s a great time to invest in Awatea Forest Fund.  

As recently communicated, RDNZ has been heavily engaged in the current Emissions Trading Scheme review, leading discussions with politicians, sector heads and forestry businesses. Reflecting, we are confident that forestry maintains a major role to play in New Zealand’s climate initiatives, and that investments made now are likely to continue to receive favourable treatment under the Emissions Trading Scheme going forward. Hence, RDNZ has a strong bias to acquire and establish forests such as Ngatoka and Kinloch mentioned above.

The carbon price at the completion of the June quarter (the most recent revaluation) was $41, materially down on today’s price. The price of carbon directly impacts the value of carbon credits held by the fund, if sustained it would amount to a positive adjustment for the September quarter.

Over the long term, we believe the growing demand for wood products and the increasing drive toward climate responsible investing, will continue to drive returns to the fund. Awatea is ideally positioned to benefit from these changes, offering investors the ideal forestry investment platform that diversifies across forests, species, age-classes, and revenues.

Forestry is unique, it is tangible and renewable, proving to be one of the most powerful intergenerational investments.

Awatea has current net assets of $19.97 million and is held across 151 unique investors.

To find out more or to join the family of Awatea investors, speak to the team today.

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Government Announces ETS Update

The Government has, last night, announced changes to its ETS auction unit pricing control settings following the recent ruling in the High Court in favor of Lawyers for Climate Action NZ (LCANZI). LCANZI had sought a judicial review of the government’s December 2022 decision to reject the Climate Change Commission’s (CCC) advice on the unit limit and price control settings for 2023 to 2027.

The major changes move to align the quarterly auctions with Climate Commission’s advice.

What’s Changing

       Price floor changes:

From December, the floor price will rise to $60 NZD, increasing to $64 in 2024. This is a substantial change from the existing setting of $33.06.

      Two Tier Cost Containment Reserve (CCR)

The announcement has outlined a new two-tier cost containment reserve function, designed to control potential extreme highs in carbon markets. The December auction will include two pricing levels of $173 and $216 however the full CCR availability will still sit within the first price level for the remainder of the year.

From 2024 the Cost containment pricing will move to $184/$230. The system will ultimately also reduce the number of NZU’s by splitting the total volume of the CCR over two price settings from 2024, with high price settings designed to mean the units are rarely be called upon.

The above chart shows recent carbon price movements and the relationship between price and government price control settings.

What it means for Forestry

The Secondary market in which we operate has for some time been waiting for firm signals from government and the announcement has seen spot pricing rise to $65 per NZU.

This is positive news for Forestry and Forest investors, better aligning the market with our global commitments. Our view remains that Forestry will continue to be a significant contributor to combating climate change and that the fundamental drivers of carbon markets remain positive with this announcement reaffirming our stance on the direction of NZU pricing. 

You can see the full announcement here.

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Awatea Forest Fund settles latest property

 
Roger Dickie N.Z. is proud to present  the latest property into the Awatea Forest Fund. 

“Goldstone” is a 446 hectare site in the strong forest growing area of Putorino, on a medium rolling site with steeper sidling’s, located 70km from the Port of Napier and 56km from Pan Pac Sawmill. 

It will add a total of 296.4 hectares of effective forest area to the Awatea Forest Fund, comprised of 63.9 hectares of existing plantings (mostly 2020 with ETS registration), 49 hectares in forest right, and a further 183.5 hectares to be established this year. 

The property has been acquired for $5.225 million and the dwellings, farm buildings and approximately 20 hectares will be subdivided in the coming months.

Goldstone received minor damage during Cyclone Gabrielle, with slipping in the steepest section where the 2020 plantings existed, this resulted in the successful renegotiation of purchase price. The more mature plantings have stabilised well and the areas to be planted this year require no reduction or remedial work.  

Goldstone has a forecast pre-tax IRR of 8.26%, with a current independent valuation 15.40% above purchase price, representing a material capital enhancement that will be captured by investors in the June quarter revaluation. 

This settlement takes the overall effective hectares of the Awatea Forest Fund to 1258ha and the team are working hard in the market to reach the targeted 5000ha. Early investors will continue to receive the benefit of any capital enhancement at the time the properties settle into the fund.

Looking to Invest?

Awatea Forest Fund is continuing to grow towards it's goal of 5000ha across New Zealand and provide Investors access to Forestry, Carbon and Land assets. With a targeted 7 - 10% annualised return, greater liquidity and increased diversity across locations and species.
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Timber use growing

Timber in construction is not something new, especially here in New Zealand. However, as the world looks for more sustainable ways to meet internationally growing housing requirements, timber is quickly becoming a leading alternative to traditional materials such as concrete and steel.

Timber as construction material is a low-carbon material, Trees absorb carbon dioxide from the atmosphere as they grow and this carbon remains stored in the wood even after it’s been harvested. So, using timber products instead of materials like concrete or steel can help to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Plus, producing timber products requires less energy than producing other building materials, which are generally produced through mining, a well-known high emissions industry.

Timber is easy to work with, making it a popular choice for builders and designers. and it’s also a versatile material, with a range of different species and grades available to suit different applications and it’s growing use cases, such as the recent article below outlines, in high rise buildings.

Take a look at the article below to see how high-rise buildings utilising Timber as a renewable resource are improving the outlook for Forestry.

Design for Living: The rise of Timber

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